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2010 NFL Draft Grades by Football Forecasters

"It is good to see, but better to foresee" 

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010 Post Draft Report & Grades

By Dale Sims


Now that the draft is complete, we begin to have a window into the probable team compositions going into the upcoming season.  This evaluation is looking at the offseason including free agency and not just the draft; the grade reflects the degree in which teams effectively improved themselves for the 2010 season.  A grade of “C” therefore reflects no change in the expected effectiveness of the team going into the new season; a higher grade reflects improvement, a lower means we expect less.  This is going to look very different from the average graded draft results you will find elsewhere as players who will need development will be undervalued under this criteria.  However, the NFL is a “what are you doing for me now” league and potential often goes unrealized.  More weight therefore is given to free agents since their skill set is known.

Arizona Cardinals – Probably no team in the league will undergo greater roster upheaval between seasons this year than Arizona.  Losing Warner to retirement makes the whole offense suspect and Boldin was a big contributor there as well.  The loss of Rolle, and Dansby significantly weaken the defense.  Adding Williams should help there and their defensive line play overall should improve but Washington will struggle to fill the role vacated by Dansby, Rhodes however is not going to make anyone forget Rolle.  On offense the news is not nearly as good, the quarterback situation is uncertain, it seems likely the Cardinals will be looking to their emerging running game for ball control but the offensive line is looking a bit unsettled at left tackle.  Grade: D

Atlanta FalconsAtlanta took a small step backwards last season from their unexpectedly successful 2008 season.  In free agency, they attempted to address their biggest need by signing Dunta Robinson in an attempt to improve their pass defense; he will not be the whole answer.  (Franks, their fifth round pick, may be a help in nickel and dime situations.).  The other part of that equation is that they need to improve the pass rush, Witherspoon a playmaker will help and while Peters adds to the defensive rotation at tackle he does not rate to have much impact as a rookie.  The running game would be aided by improving the offensive line but neither guard they drafted is expected to have an immediate impact.  Grade C+

Baltimore Ravens – By picking up Boldin and Stallworth, they addressed their most serious offensive issue in free agency with excellent results.  Thus their offensive issues were well covered in free agency.  The draft saw them add defensive talent to an aging group in the form of Kindle and Cody who both figure to contribute to the defensive rotation as rookies with Kindle a possible starter on an already talented front seven.  The one hole the team failed to address is the defensive secondary that has been declining the past couple of seasons and is in need of young talent.  This weakness may be somewhat covered by their pass rush but that remains to be seen.  Grade B+

Buffalo Bills – When a team has as many needs as this one it is hard not to improve but apparently it can be done.  The offensive line is pretty much non-existent and does not appear to be getting much in the way of immediate help.  Drafting Spiller to run behind the talent they currently have seems to be a waste.  The lack of quarterback talent and depth at receiver suggest that points may be difficult to come by this season.  The change to a three-four defensive scheme will dilute the talent they have defensively but the addition of Troup as a nose tackle and Carrington should be a good start on what seems likely to be a difficult transition.  Grade C-

Carolina Panthers – The team lost an important defensive piece with the departure of Julius Peppers; they are also in transition at quarterback having cut Delhomme, and then drafting three quarterbacks (count them, three, though Edwards projects as  a wide receiver eventually).  Clausen may work out well here and Moore has some upside as well but the team continues to have no second receiver to take pressure off Smith.  LaFell brings back disturbing memories of some of their other experiments with this position.  They needed to find a pass rusher and the results they will get with the undersized Norwood and the injury-prone Hardy may not become immediately known.  Grade D+

Chicago Bears – The Bears made the most of free agency after having traded away most their draft for Cutler last season.  The acquisition of Peppers is a plus for a defense that requires that quarterback pressure develop from the four-man rush and has been unable to deliver in the past couple of seasons.  Unfortunately the rest of the defense is another year older they will need to hope that they avoid the injuries that decimated the unit.  They did draft Wright who should have an opportunity to start at safety.  The offensive line remains a question, they seem to be counting on Mike Tice to coach the most out of this group but that seems to be a questionable approach at best.  They have a variety of receivers but have no real number one.  Given the demands of the Martz offense on timing and precision route running this group appears to be under-qualified.  Grade C+

Cincinnati Bengals – The need here is for a reliable second receiver and the addition of Antonio Bryant in free agency really did not accomplish much in that direction; he is certainly less reliable from a hands perspective than Coles who was cut.  Gresham, the rookie  tight end who missed the 2009 college season due to knee surgery, was originally a wide receiver and has excellent pass-catching skills though his blocking needs work.  He could be exactly what they need and should be immediately productive in the middle of the field.  Shipley could also have a role as a slot receiver so they seem to have some potential answers.  They could stand to add some depth at running back but the team does not have any other glaring issues.  Grade B

Cleveland Browns – Again a team with many needs they are looking to change offensive schemes and need personnel everywhere.  They are admittedly rebuilding and it will be a while before results start to pay off here.  The quarterback situation is an obvious need and McCoy could be a good long-term answer but the team has already indicated they plan to sit him his rookie season.  The addition of Haden will improve the pass defense and looks to be an immediate and long-term contributor and pick of Ward in the second round further helps the secondary.  The choice of Hardesty a power back, running behind the offensive line, which is the strength of the team, looks like a move to slow games down and try to keep things close in the near future.  They still may not win many games next season but the quality of play looks like it will be on the rise.  Grade B

Dallas Cowboys – The team cut their left tackle and has yet to replace him, his backup, Doug Free, does not appear to be the answer if his performance in the playoffs is an indication and the tackle they picked up in the sixth round (Sam Young) looks like a project as a potential right tackle.  Bryant, if he plays even close to potential, should be a clear upgrade over Williams in an already potent passing attack but they have to be able to keep Romo vertical in order to take advantage of that potential.  The addition of Lee to the defense is good and he has some potential to push for a starting spot though perhaps not immediately.  This is a good team to begin with and while they improved the receiver corps and the defensive depth, the offensive line is a major concern that they needed to address.  Grade C

Denver BroncosDenver did a lot in free agency to shore up a defense that started reasonably, against less than stellar competition and tanked late in the season.  A lot is going to depend upon how Williams comes back from his injury; if he is healthy, they should be better on the defensive line.  After the trade of Marshall, it became a priority to get a quality receiver in the draft and the team accomplished that when they took Thomas, likely a much less disruptive presence if perhaps not quite as productive.  They need to find a replacement at offensive center and drafted two centers and a tackle who will likely end up at guard.  They addressed the need for a linebacker by signing journeyman Ayodele immediately after the draft..  The drafting of Tebow probably will not affect the quarterback position this season or perhaps the next but it looks like a reach where they could have had a quality linebacker instead.  Grade C

Detroit Lions – This team is in the second year of their rebuilding plan that looks to be progressing on at least some fronts.  The defense added Corey Williams and Vanden Bosch in free agency.  The drafting of Suh to play between them should present a greatly improved defensive front.  They let Sims go but he was never a great fit for their scheme and his lack of gap discipline often more than offset his physical talent.  Spievey looks to be an addition for depth to a defensive backfield that could have used more help than it is getting.  Offensively they added Burleson and Scheffler to the receiving corps to relieve some pressure from Johnson and provide targets for Stafford.  Best looks to be getting a good chance to start at running back as Smith may not be back from his knee injury but Best has significant injury concerns as well.  The team needed to improve along the offensive line so the additions at the skill positions may not yield their full potential, a team still a bit away but improving.  Grade B

Green Bay Packers – The Packers biggest moves in free agency were resigning their own players, namely both offensive tackles.  That makes the draft of Bryan Bulaga a little odd but he adds depth and may be better suited to move inside.  Of course, with the injuries they had last season and the number of sacks that they gave up the idea of improving the line has to make Rodgers feel better.  The team added depth to the defensive line and Burnett at strong safety is likely to see the field at some point this season.  The one concern is the failure to address the cornerback position where the starters, Harris and Woodson, will each be in their fourteenth season this year.  It does not look like the replacement for either off these two is currently on the roster either so injuries could leave them seriously undermanned.  Grade C –

Houston Texans – With the loss of Dunta Robinson, the team was in desperate need of a cornerback but the pick of Jackson when Patrick Robinson and Wilson were still on the board seems a bit of a reach though Jackson probably has more upside than Wilson as number one corner.  He will need to start week one so hopefully their talent evaluation is correct.  The other issue has been running back where they would like to have a running back that they could rely on for consistent productivity Tate their latest attempt looks like a reach as a second round pick and likely will be sharing carries.  The injury to Daniels did inspire the team to pick up two tight ends both with good pass catching skills as insurance.  Otherwise, the team added defensive depth in the draft, which is needed but a greater emphasis on the secondary, would have been in order.  Grade C

Indianapolis Colts – Typically the Colts were not particularly active in free agency and do not have many needs.  The stated need of the team was to improve the offensive line.  With the retirement of Howard Mudd will they change their philosophy of offensive line play?  McClendon certainly looks a bit more in the style of power blockers rather than the smaller more athletic zone blockers they usually field but it is too early to tell.  Eldridge, the tight end they drafted, looks like a conversion project into a tackle or perhaps interior lineman if he bulks up sufficiently.  Generally, the team drafted to provide depth to the defense where their lack of size has lead to wearing down players toward the end of the season.  Hughes looks like he will fit nicely into the defensive rotation, as an edge rusher early in the season and Angerer should see time as the season progresses.  Grade C

Jacksonville JaguarsJacksonville had the least effective pass rush in the NFL last season so they drafted an entirely new defensive line.  This was probably overkill as their issues exist in the defensive secondary as well and they are very thin at all of the receiver positions.  They acquired Kampman who should be a real help as long as he stays healthy.  Picking Alualu tenth overall was a bit of a surprise and a likely reach but he figures to start though he seems a bit raw.  Adding Smith at tackle and then two more defensive ends with the next two picks is going to make an already young team substantially younger (read inexperienced).  Meanwhile the defensive secondary is not enhanced much by the addition of McGee who rates to be a return specialist.  The passing game lost Holt who admittedly was not particularly effective but was still their second receiver and they have no obvious replacement.  Grade D

Kansas City Chiefs – Another team in rebuilding mode they have a number of needs to fill.  Their three-four defense is still in need of finding a true nose tackle, they are probably going to try free agency acquisition Shaun Smith there but it is unclear he can hold up in that role.  Eric Berry gives the team a playmaker where they desperately need one and they added corner back depth with Arenas who has good defensive instincts.  The pick of McCluster an undersized running back with good hands as a receiver seems a bit of a reach unless they are planning on using him in the slot as he does not seem durable enough except for spot usage out of the backfield.  The pick of Asamoah was a good value, he can contribute to the interior line though with the addition of Wiegmann and Lilja in free agency he can be brought along slowly if needed.  Grade B

Miami Dolphins – The team made some decisions on defense toward getting younger parting ways with Taylor and Porter though left sone gaping holes in their pass rush.  They added Dansby which helps the inside linebacker corps.  The first pick in the draft was Odrick who will likely be a five-technique tackle though the eight game suspension of Jason Ferguson may move him in to nose tackle as part of a rotation at the start of the season; in any case he will be on the field from game one.  Misi the second round pick also figures to be on the field a lot as a rookie starter at linebacker, one of four selected in this draft.  They also added depth in the defensive secondary.  They had a need to add a receiver after trading the disappointing Ginn and got Marshall a clear upgrade in talent there.  Grade B

Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings are a solid team but needed some depth in the defensive backfield.  The acquisition of Sheppard and drafting Cook should fill that immediate need.  The offensive line play has fallen off and it could use some immediate help.  Degeare will likely become a guard but he is going to require some time to work into the new role.  This answer is not nearly as sufficient and Peterson’s drop in productivity may continue.  Gerhart is a good back up for Peterson but is not much in the way of a change of pace back and will need to work on his pass catching skills.  They picked up good depth defensively in an attempt to bring some youth to that unit.  Grade C+

New England Patriots – The team has a need to improve its pass defense and particularly the pass rush.  They started out with a cornerback McCourty who will be on the field in some packages though not as a starter; they also picked up two likely linebackers, Spikes for the inside and Cunningham for the outside both will contribute this season.  The draft also yielded some developmental prospects on both the sides of the line.  In free agency, the team also picked up defensive linemen Warren, Lewis, and Gordon for depth for the defensive line, which wore down late in games last season.  The offense added Gronkowski, one of the top two receiving tight ends who should see the field this season and is more than an adequate replacement for Watson.  Grade A-

New Orleans Saints – The Saints are obviously in good shape, which is not quite the same as not having needs mostly on the defensive side of the ball.  The only significant pick up was adding Wilkerson a needed pass rusher.  The defensive front could use more help if just depth as they only drafted one lineman who will take some time to work into the roation and no linebackers.   The draft brought them Patrick Robinson an almost ideal choice by skill set and team need.  He will likely be starting at some point this season if not immediately.  Offensively Charles Brown will require development but is a good long-term prospect at tackle.  Graham, the tight end, is also a project, a converted basketball player with great size and athleticism who has many drawing comparisons with Gates, Brees should be able to help in that progression if there are any true similarities.  Grade C+

New York Giants – After the season, the Giants released Antonio Pierce, which immediately established there major off-season need; additionally the defense needed to get younger.  Their biggest move they made in free agency was adding Rolle at safety.  In the draft, they went heavily toward the defense picking first the athletic but very raw defensive end Pierre-Paul who can be a situational pass rusher but will take time to develop otherwise.  They also added Joseph, who will figure into the defensive tackle rotation and could eventually be a solid starter.  They waited until the fourth round to draft a middle linebacker and as might be expected there are concerns about Dillard’s ability to effectively start.  Grade C

New York Jets – The Jets had limited draft choices available partially because of their activities in off-season where they traded for Cromartie and picked up Pool and Taylor in the free agency to add to the defensive.  They also added a key player on the offensive side of the ball when they traded for Santonio Holmes which gives them a true number one receiver..  In the draft, they picked up Kyle Wilson who is very talented but will struggle for time with Revis and Cromartie but should contribute as a nickel back immediately.  Arguably the best defense in the NFL got more talented.  They picked up a guard, Ducasse, (played tackle in college) in the second round and apparently like him enough to cut Faneca.  Grade B+

Oakland Raiders – The Raiders were remarkably mainstream in this draft, no early extreme reaches and there seemed to be a more cohesive approach than evident recently.  The most telling move may be the acquisition of Jason Campbell by trade; he has a good arm and can possible do well in their scheme.  The draft found them looking to their defense and choose two solid football players McClain and Houston who will contribute immediately.  They then took two offensive linemen who while excellent athletes will take a season or two to develop.  (Campbell though has a huge upside, and was a steal in the fourth round.)  They also drafted Ford who had ran a 4.24 forty at the combine who they may be planning to plug in as a returner.  The team has always had athletic talent and they have improved, the question remains how effectively will they use it.  Grade B

Philadelphia Eagles – The Eagles traded their starting quarterback but their real issues look to be on the offensive and defensive lines.  They traded for the talented but somewhat undisciplined linebacker Sims who may actually be a better fit here if he can stay healthy.  Graham figures to be an immediate starter at defensive end and Allen will likely start at safety at some point during the season, probably early.  Lindley will likely find a roll in the secondary in nickel and dime packages.  Add to that more depth picks and the defense was well taken care of.  Where there are still issues are on the offensive line where the release of Andrews leaves an immediate hole and where they could generally use more depth.  Kolb gets a chance to start but will need to be alert while the line works itself out.  Grade B

Pittsburgh Steelers – The team found a proven replacement at quarterback while Roethlisberger serves his suspension; Leftwich was acquired for a seventh round draft pick and will be serviceable for the first four to six games.  The offensive line gives up a lot of sacks but they are asked to hold blocks longer than is practically possible.  Still they picked up a very good center, Pouncey who can start anywhere on the interior immediately.  They also picked up Sanders as a receiver to perhaps replace Holmes eventually, he runs good routes and has good speed but he will need some time to develop.  On defense, they added two linebackers with edge rushing potential, Worilds and Gibson who may get into the defensive rotation this season.  They traded for McFadden who helps their defensive backfield but they still need more depth there.  Grade B-

San Diego ChargersSan Diego created a need when they traded Cromartie who started out strong but his production has fallen off after his rookie year, apparently, they are expecting either Cason or Strickland to fill that role but they still need depth.  They also cut Williams, which is a big hole to fill both figuratively, and literally, they drafted Thomas but he will need some time to work into the position but in that defense the nose tackle must command a double team.  Another issue was to replace Tomlinson which they addressed by drafting a power back Mathews who will split time with Sproles and keep him from being overused.  They picked up a couple of defensive players in the draft who will play this season, Butler will see time in the defensive rotation early and Stuckey should see the field in relief..  Grade C+

San Francisco Forty-Niners – This team was not very active in free agency though they did trade for Ginn who might be a slot receiver in their offense but will definitely be an upgrade for their return game.  Despite last minute changes in the front office the team managed to address their draft needs effectively.  The offensive line was the primary issue and that was well covered with Davis and Iupati both of whom will likely start on opening day, and Byham, who will see action in two tight end sets as an additional blocker.  (Frank Gore should be a very happy man.)  Defensively they added Mays at safety and Bowman at linebacker both of whom will play a lot, Mays as another day one starter.  They picked up a backup running back in Dixon who may see some spot duty and receiver Kyle Williams could see time as a returner.  Grade A-

Seattle SeahawksSeattle had a number of issues to address, as their defensive secondary was porous and their offensive line mediocre at best.  They drafted to those needs and picked up some quality players.  The managed to get Okung probably the best left-tackle in the draft and capable of starting immediately should Jones retire or start on the right side.  The departure of Burleson means that Tate should see the field as a rookie. 

They then took Thomas who will start on the defensive side of the ball and will provide a playmaker where they desperately need one.  Thurmond could see time in their nickel package depending upon his health or even break in as a starter as the season progresses.  They traded for White and Washington to bolster the running game but they still need help on the offensive line if they expect marked improvement there, which would help Whitehurst’s prospects at quarterback as well.  Grade B

St Louis Rams – The Rams had the first pick in the draft for a reason.  Still they have some talent, Jackson is one of the best running backs in the league and the defense has some talented individual players as well.  They took Bradford to be their franchise quarterback; it may take a while for that to be established one way or the other.  Safford was a much safer choice, he can play about anywhere along the line and can start day one.  They also picked a wide receiver/returner, Gilyard, who may figure into the receiver corps as that is a thin group from a talent perspective.  The rest of the draft was largely focused on the defense Murphy looks to be a starter at some point but the rest of the picks largely will have poles on special teams and for depth.  Grade C+

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – The team is in the second year of a rebuilding process and they made good progress getting younger on the defensive line with two solid tackle picks McCoy and Price who should both start.  They picked up a couple of late round linebackers and Watson looks like an eventual starter in this scheme.  The pass rush does not look to have improved which is an issue; Lewis the cornerback drafted at the top of the third round is not a great fit in this scheme.  Offensively they added Benn and Williams as receivers both of whom have potential and are likely to play as rookies, probably a lot.  They replaced Bidwell, their punter lost in free agency; with their sixth round draft pick Bowden.  Grade B-

Tennessee Titans – The Titans defense fell off dramatically last season.  Losing Haynesworth changed the composition of the group and age and injury took a toll as well.  They lost Vanden Bosch in free agency as well so the draft was heavily weighted toward the defense.  Morgan was more than an adequate replacement at the defensive end position.  Curran is a good football player and has the kind of football intelligence and speed that Fisher likes to coach but he is undersized so his role is not entirely clear. They picked up two safeties, Johnson and Rolle who should compete for playing time.  Offensively they added two receivers Williams should start sooner rather than later, good hands and route running skills are at a premium on this roster.  Grade B-

Washington Redskins – The Redskins have undergone wholesale changes in the front office that are going to substantially change the product on the field.  They traded for McNabb and added free agent running backs Parker and Johnson to the roster but have a very thin receiving corp.  They drafted Trent Williams and picked up Hicks to upgrade the last season’s offensive line and that still might not be enough so they picked up a couple of developmental prospects late in the draft.  Defensively they will be changing to a three-four this will mean shifting around of a number of players.  They added five defensive linemen in free agency including Carriker who will likely be shifted to defensive end a position he is much better suited for.  Grade C+

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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